Current numerical weather models from MetService New Zealand converge on a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, reflecting mid-autumn climatology where daily highs typically average 12–15°C under stable conditions. Light southerly flows and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, consistent with ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement around this value. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C because recent forecast updates indicate minimal variability from frontal systems or northerly advection, with historical records confirming low deviation in similar post-frontal regimes. Final short-range model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key upcoming data point that could shift resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 17. Mai?
14°C 51%
13°C 31%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
8°C oder niedriger
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
31%
14°C
51%
15°C
16%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 51%
13°C 31%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$410 Vol.
1%
12°C
$249 Vol.
4%
13°C
$631 Vol.
31%
14°C
$1,037 Vol.
51%
15°C
$1,147 Vol.
16%
16°C
$1,730 Vol.
1%
17°C
$428 Vol.
1%
18°C oder höher
$2,538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from MetService New Zealand converge on a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, reflecting mid-autumn climatology where daily highs typically average 12–15°C under stable conditions. Light southerly flows and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, consistent with ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement around this value. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C because recent forecast updates indicate minimal variability from frontal systems or northerly advection, with historical records confirming low deviation in similar post-frontal regimes. Final short-range model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key upcoming data point that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$9,965Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather models from MetService New Zealand converge on a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, reflecting mid-autumn climatology where daily highs typically average 12–15°C under stable conditions. Light southerly flows and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, consistent with ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement around this value. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C because recent forecast updates indicate minimal variability from frontal systems or northerly advection, with historical records confirming low deviation in similar post-frontal regimes. Final short-range model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key upcoming data point that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,965Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent numerical weather models from MetService New Zealand converge on a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, reflecting mid-autumn climatology where daily highs typically average 12–15°C under stable conditions. Light southerly flows and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, consistent with ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF showing tight agreement around this value. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 14°C because recent forecast updates indicate minimal variability from frontal systems or northerly advection, with historical records confirming low deviation in similar post-frontal regimes. Final short-range model guidance tomorrow morning remains the key upcoming data point that could shift resolution probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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