Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
17%
31°C oder höher
15%
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
15%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
17%
31°C oder höher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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