Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 15?
68-69°F 56%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 3.1%
$30,509 Vol.
$30,509 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
56%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 56%
70-71°F 25%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 3.1%
$30,509 Vol.
$30,509 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
56%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 53.5% implied probability to a 68-69°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) today, closely tracking National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting peaks near 69°F amid a persistent shallow marine layer. This coastal stratus cloud deck, fueled by cool Pacific waters and onshore breezes, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, as seen in yesterday's observed high of around 69°F. Supporting 33% odds for 70-71°F, model ensembles show potential for partial afternoon clearing, though weak high pressure aloft limits warming. Lower bins reflect climatological May averages near 72°F but current cool anomalies; real-time observations and evening NWS updates will refine trajectories before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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