Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 68-69°F (49.5%) for Los Angeles on May 14, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent marine layer stratocumulus clouds suppressing daytime heating in the coastal LA basin. Over the past 24-48 hours, observed highs at LAX stalled around 62°F amid thick May Gray overcast from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 60°F and moderate onshore flow, with similar conditions lingering into May 13 per recent NWS observations. This setup limits solar insolation, positioning 66-67°F (27.5%) as the next likely outcome, while 70°F or higher (17.5%) would require early cloud burn-off by midday—possible but low-confidence per current forecast consensus. Monitor afternoon NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution using official LAX measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
68-69°F 51%
66-67°F 26%
70°F or higher 18%
64-65°F 6.4%
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
51%
70°F or higher
18%
68-69°F 51%
66-67°F 26%
70°F or higher 18%
64-65°F 6.4%
$16,302 Vol.
$16,302 Vol.
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
51%
70°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 68-69°F (49.5%) for Los Angeles on May 14, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF showing persistent marine layer stratocumulus clouds suppressing daytime heating in the coastal LA basin. Over the past 24-48 hours, observed highs at LAX stalled around 62°F amid thick May Gray overcast from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 60°F and moderate onshore flow, with similar conditions lingering into May 13 per recent NWS observations. This setup limits solar insolation, positioning 66-67°F (27.5%) as the next likely outcome, while 70°F or higher (17.5%) would require early cloud burn-off by midday—possible but low-confidence per current forecast consensus. Monitor afternoon NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution using official LAX measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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