Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 25%
62-63°F 3.7%
60-61°F 1.2%
NEU
NEU
15. Mai 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
25%
66°F or higher
75%
66°F or higher 75%
64-65°F 25%
62-63°F 3.7%
60-61°F 1.2%
NEU
NEU
15. Mai 2026
47°F or below
$982 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$611 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$553 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$636 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$924 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$386 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$252 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$693 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$433 Vol.
25%
66°F or higher
$343 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$7,149Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,149Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 project a daytime high near 66-68°F under partly sunny skies with west winds 10-20 mph, fueling trader sentiment for a 50% implied probability on 66°F or higher amid typical mid-May climatology where averages hover around 67°F. Persistent marine layer from the Pacific often caps temperatures in the 58-65°F range—reflected in clustered 35-35.5% odds for those bins—due to evaporative cooling and coastal stratus, though model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System shows potential for earlier burn-off enabling warmer readings. No major developments in the past week have altered this outlook, but uncertainty remains with possible onshore flow strengthening; watch NWS updates Thursday afternoon for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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