Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Madrid today, backed by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport and nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria, where peaks reached 20.7°C by mid-afternoon amid persistent stratus clouds and cool northerly advection from a fading Atlantic low-pressure system west of Portugal. This caps solar insolation well below seasonal norms of 23°C for mid-May, with model ensembles showing minimal intensification potential as overcast conditions limit boundary-layer heating. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks boosting peaks to 22°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, though current trajectories and hourly data trends render this improbable; final resolution awaits AEMET's official daily maximum post-midnight UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$120,724 Vol.
$120,724 Vol.
13. Mai 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$120,724 Vol.
$120,724 Vol.
13. Mai 2026
21°C
$15,939 Vol.
100%
22°C
$14,922 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,176 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,195 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$5,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Madrid today, backed by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport and nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria, where peaks reached 20.7°C by mid-afternoon amid persistent stratus clouds and cool northerly advection from a fading Atlantic low-pressure system west of Portugal. This caps solar insolation well below seasonal norms of 23°C for mid-May, with model ensembles showing minimal intensification potential as overcast conditions limit boundary-layer heating. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks boosting peaks to 22°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, though current trajectories and hourly data trends render this improbable; final resolution awaits AEMET's official daily maximum post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$120,724Enddatum
13. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Madrid today, backed by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport and nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria, where peaks reached 20.7°C by mid-afternoon amid persistent stratus clouds and cool northerly advection from a fading Atlantic low-pressure system west of Portugal. This caps solar insolation well below seasonal norms of 23°C for mid-May, with model ensembles showing minimal intensification potential as overcast conditions limit boundary-layer heating. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks boosting peaks to 22°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, though current trajectories and hourly data trends render this improbable; final resolution awaits AEMET's official daily maximum post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$120,724Enddatum
13. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C in Madrid today, backed by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) short-range forecasts and real-time observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport and nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria, where peaks reached 20.7°C by mid-afternoon amid persistent stratus clouds and cool northerly advection from a fading Atlantic low-pressure system west of Portugal. This caps solar insolation well below seasonal norms of 23°C for mid-May, with model ensembles showing minimal intensification potential as overcast conditions limit boundary-layer heating. Realistic challenges include brief afternoon cloud breaks boosting peaks to 22°C via enhanced shortwave radiation, though current trajectories and hourly data trends render this improbable; final resolution awaits AEMET's official daily maximum post-midnight UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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