Official observations from Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a peak temperature of 13°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and cool northerly airflow from a low-pressure system over Lombardy suppressed diurnal heating, as corroborated by Aeronautica Militare reports and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles forecasting maxima of 14–16°C earlier in the day. This marks a sharp deviation from the mid-May climatological average of 22°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. With the daily maximum window closed, only a rare data revision from finalized hourly records could challenge this positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,034 Vol.
$82,034 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,034 Vol.
$82,034 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
13°C
$11,851 Vol.
100%
14°C
$8,756 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,787 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,003 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,252 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,607 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$6,905 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a peak temperature of 13°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and cool northerly airflow from a low-pressure system over Lombardy suppressed diurnal heating, as corroborated by Aeronautica Militare reports and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles forecasting maxima of 14–16°C earlier in the day. This marks a sharp deviation from the mid-May climatological average of 22°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. With the daily maximum window closed, only a rare data revision from finalized hourly records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$82,034Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a peak temperature of 13°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and cool northerly airflow from a low-pressure system over Lombardy suppressed diurnal heating, as corroborated by Aeronautica Militare reports and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles forecasting maxima of 14–16°C earlier in the day. This marks a sharp deviation from the mid-May climatological average of 22°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. With the daily maximum window closed, only a rare data revision from finalized hourly records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$82,034Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Milan Malpensa Airport (LIMC), the market's resolution source via Wunderground, confirm a peak temperature of 13°C on May 15, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and cool northerly airflow from a low-pressure system over Lombardy suppressed diurnal heating, as corroborated by Aeronautica Militare reports and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles forecasting maxima of 14–16°C earlier in the day. This marks a sharp deviation from the mid-May climatological average of 22°C at Linate and Malpensa stations. With the daily maximum window closed, only a rare data revision from finalized hourly records could challenge this positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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