Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
22°C 58.1%
23°C 26.4%
24°C 5.7%
25°C 3.0%
$31,602 Vol.
$31,602 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
58%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 58.1%
23°C 26.4%
24°C 5.7%
25°C 3.0%
$31,602 Vol.
$31,602 Vol.
15. Mai 2026
20°C
$3,035 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,844 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,317 Vol.
58%
23°C
$2,594 Vol.
26%
24°C
$2,133 Vol.
6%
25°C
$3,491 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$4,251 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volumen
$31,602Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$31,602Enddatum
15. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Moscow high temperature of 22°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting the latest short-range forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks of 21–23°C amid cloudy skies, short-term heavy rain, and thunderstorms. Yesterday's observed maximum of 22°C at Vnukovo International Airport—per NOAA records—provides a recent baseline, while southeasterly winds at 6–11 m/s usher mild air masses but foster instability capping solar heating. Above-average May climatology (historical highs near 19°C) supports this positioning, though cloud cover and precipitation introduce uncertainty; intraday observations will refine the outcome before evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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