Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high near 22°C today under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover, with limited instability keeping any showers brief and localized. This positions the 22°C outcome as the market leader at 50.3% implied probability, reflecting traders' integration of ensemble guidance showing stabilization in the low 20s Celsius rather than the 23°C+ threshold at 25.6%. Mid-May climatology for the region typically yields highs around 18°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent ridging. Official station observations will determine resolution, with any evening cooling or precipitation potentially anchoring the maximum near the central forecast value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
22°C 43.6%
21°C 22%
23°C or higher 21.1%
20°C 3.5%
$20,904 Vol.
$20,904 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
22%
22°C
44%
23°C or higher
21%
22°C 43.6%
21°C 22%
23°C or higher 21.1%
20°C 3.5%
$20,904 Vol.
$20,904 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
18°C
$3,848 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,205 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,197 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,699 Vol.
22%
22°C
$1,284 Vol.
44%
23°C or higher
$3,241 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high near 22°C today under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover, with limited instability keeping any showers brief and localized. This positions the 22°C outcome as the market leader at 50.3% implied probability, reflecting traders' integration of ensemble guidance showing stabilization in the low 20s Celsius rather than the 23°C+ threshold at 25.6%. Mid-May climatology for the region typically yields highs around 18°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent ridging. Official station observations will determine resolution, with any evening cooling or precipitation potentially anchoring the maximum near the central forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$20,904Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high near 22°C today under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover, with limited instability keeping any showers brief and localized. This positions the 22°C outcome as the market leader at 50.3% implied probability, reflecting traders' integration of ensemble guidance showing stabilization in the low 20s Celsius rather than the 23°C+ threshold at 25.6%. Mid-May climatology for the region typically yields highs around 18°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent ridging. Official station observations will determine resolution, with any evening cooling or precipitation potentially anchoring the maximum near the central forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,904Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow will reach a daytime high near 22°C today under moderate westerly flow and partial cloud cover, with limited instability keeping any showers brief and localized. This positions the 22°C outcome as the market leader at 50.3% implied probability, reflecting traders' integration of ensemble guidance showing stabilization in the low 20s Celsius rather than the 23°C+ threshold at 25.6%. Mid-May climatology for the region typically yields highs around 18°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by persistent ridging. Official station observations will determine resolution, with any evening cooling or precipitation potentially anchoring the maximum near the central forecast value.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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