Recent forecast guidance from regional models shows a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, favoring mostly clear skies and light to moderate southeasterly flow for Cape Town on May 18, after earlier cold-front activity and strong winds cleared the region. This setup supports daytime maxima near 20–22 °C, with the narrow 35 %–33 % market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflecting small differences in predicted wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger onshore breezes or lingering marine-layer stratus would cap the peak closer to 21 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling from the Benguela Current, while lighter winds and greater insolation could push readings to 22 °C or briefly 23 °C. Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus that places the outcome squarely between these two values, with limited upside risk above 23 °C given the season’s climatological ceiling near 21 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 18. Mai?
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 16%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C oder höher
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 36%
23°C 16%
20°C 9%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
15°C oder weniger
$141 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$133 Vol.
1%
18°C
$428 Vol.
1%
19°C
$203 Vol.
4%
20°C
$47 Vol.
9%
21°C
$95 Vol.
36%
22°C
$231 Vol.
36%
23°C
$136 Vol.
16%
24°C
$104 Vol.
4%
25°C oder höher
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models shows a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, favoring mostly clear skies and light to moderate southeasterly flow for Cape Town on May 18, after earlier cold-front activity and strong winds cleared the region. This setup supports daytime maxima near 20–22 °C, with the narrow 35 %–33 % market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflecting small differences in predicted wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger onshore breezes or lingering marine-layer stratus would cap the peak closer to 21 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling from the Benguela Current, while lighter winds and greater insolation could push readings to 22 °C or briefly 23 °C. Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus that places the outcome squarely between these two values, with limited upside risk above 23 °C given the season’s climatological ceiling near 21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$1,802Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from regional models shows a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, favoring mostly clear skies and light to moderate southeasterly flow for Cape Town on May 18, after earlier cold-front activity and strong winds cleared the region. This setup supports daytime maxima near 20–22 °C, with the narrow 35 %–33 % market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflecting small differences in predicted wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger onshore breezes or lingering marine-layer stratus would cap the peak closer to 21 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling from the Benguela Current, while lighter winds and greater insolation could push readings to 22 °C or briefly 23 °C. Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus that places the outcome squarely between these two values, with limited upside risk above 23 °C given the season’s climatological ceiling near 21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,802Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecast guidance from regional models shows a stabilizing high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic, favoring mostly clear skies and light to moderate southeasterly flow for Cape Town on May 18, after earlier cold-front activity and strong winds cleared the region. This setup supports daytime maxima near 20–22 °C, with the narrow 35 %–33 % market split between 21 °C and 22 °C reflecting small differences in predicted wind strength and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger onshore breezes or lingering marine-layer stratus would cap the peak closer to 21 °C by enhancing evaporative cooling from the Benguela Current, while lighter winds and greater insolation could push readings to 22 °C or briefly 23 °C. Traders are weighting the most recent model consensus that places the outcome squarely between these two values, with limited upside risk above 23 °C given the season’s climatological ceiling near 21 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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