Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service point to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly across Cape Town on May 16, supporting a daily maximum near 21°C as the most probable outcome. These conditions follow the passage of a cold front that brought heavy rainfall and gale-force winds earlier in the week, allowing for gradual warming under building high pressure without significant heat advection from the interior. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 20°C and 22°C and only low probability of exceeding 23°C or dropping below 19°C given the stable post-frontal regime. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C, positioning the market-implied odds around the upper end of typical variability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 50%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5.2%
NEU
$10,548 Vol.
NEU
$10,548 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
54%
22°C
24%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
19°C 5.2%
NEU
$10,548 Vol.
NEU
$10,548 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
16°C or below
$910 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$849 Vol.
1%
19°C
$945 Vol.
5%
20°C
$777 Vol.
20%
21°C
$1,750 Vol.
54%
22°C
$1,423 Vol.
24%
23°C
$974 Vol.
3%
24°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$928 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service point to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly across Cape Town on May 16, supporting a daily maximum near 21°C as the most probable outcome. These conditions follow the passage of a cold front that brought heavy rainfall and gale-force winds earlier in the week, allowing for gradual warming under building high pressure without significant heat advection from the interior. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 20°C and 22°C and only low probability of exceeding 23°C or dropping below 19°C given the stable post-frontal regime. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C, positioning the market-implied odds around the upper end of typical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volumen
$10,548Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service point to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly across Cape Town on May 16, supporting a daily maximum near 21°C as the most probable outcome. These conditions follow the passage of a cold front that brought heavy rainfall and gale-force winds earlier in the week, allowing for gradual warming under building high pressure without significant heat advection from the interior. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 20°C and 22°C and only low probability of exceeding 23°C or dropping below 19°C given the stable post-frontal regime. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C, positioning the market-implied odds around the upper end of typical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,548Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service point to partly cloudy skies and moderate northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly across Cape Town on May 16, supporting a daily maximum near 21°C as the most probable outcome. These conditions follow the passage of a cold front that brought heavy rainfall and gale-force winds earlier in the week, allowing for gradual warming under building high pressure without significant heat advection from the interior. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 20°C and 22°C and only low probability of exceeding 23°C or dropping below 19°C given the stable post-frontal regime. This aligns with historical May climatology, where average highs hover near 19–20°C, positioning the market-implied odds around the upper end of typical variability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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