Current forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, supported by stable autumn conditions featuring light southerly winds and broken cloud cover that limit solar heating. This aligns with the May climatological average high of approximately 21°C while reflecting modest cooling from a recent weak frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities favor the 20°C outcome at 42.5 percent because ensemble runs show minimal risk of either strong warming above 22°C or further suppression below 19°C. Key resolution will come from official observations at Cape Town International Airport, with final data typically released the following morning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 17. Mai?
20°C 45%
21°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
45%
21°C
28%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C oder höher
1%
20°C 45%
21°C 28%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C oder darunter
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
45%
21°C
28%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTCurrent forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international guidance converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 17, supported by stable autumn conditions featuring light southerly winds and broken cloud cover that limit solar heating. This aligns with the May climatological average high of approximately 21°C while reflecting modest cooling from a recent weak frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities favor the 20°C outcome at 42.5 percent because ensemble runs show minimal risk of either strong warming above 22°C or further suppression below 19°C. Key resolution will come from official observations at Cape Town International Airport, with final data typically released the following morning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen