Updated ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai stabilizing near 19–21°C on May 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 18°C, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with Shanghai’s May climatology, where average minima rise from 16–17°C early in the month to 18–20°C by mid-to-late May under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent surface observations from Pudong International Airport show a warming trend since mid-month, with urban heat-island effects further moderating temperature drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 15°C or below while spreading significant weight across the 19–22°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential frontal passages. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 20. Mai?
15°C oder weniger 85%
22°C 28%
25°C oder höher 25%
21°C 22%
NEU
NEU
20. Mai 2026
15°C oder weniger
85%
16°C
5%
17°C
9%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C oder höher
25%
15°C oder weniger 85%
22°C 28%
25°C oder höher 25%
21°C 22%
NEU
NEU
20. Mai 2026
15°C oder weniger
$23 Vol.
85%
16°C
$50 Vol.
5%
17°C
$20 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
22%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C oder höher
$22 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai stabilizing near 19–21°C on May 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 18°C, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with Shanghai’s May climatology, where average minima rise from 16–17°C early in the month to 18–20°C by mid-to-late May under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent surface observations from Pudong International Airport show a warming trend since mid-month, with urban heat-island effects further moderating temperature drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 15°C or below while spreading significant weight across the 19–22°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential frontal passages. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$115Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai stabilizing near 19–21°C on May 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 18°C, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with Shanghai’s May climatology, where average minima rise from 16–17°C early in the month to 18–20°C by mid-to-late May under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent surface observations from Pudong International Airport show a warming trend since mid-month, with urban heat-island effects further moderating temperature drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 15°C or below while spreading significant weight across the 19–22°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential frontal passages. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$115Enddatum
20. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDUpdated ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models indicate overnight lows in Shanghai stabilizing near 19–21°C on May 20, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 18°C, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with Shanghai’s May climatology, where average minima rise from 16–17°C early in the month to 18–20°C by mid-to-late May under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent surface observations from Pudong International Airport show a warming trend since mid-month, with urban heat-island effects further moderating temperature drops. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to 15°C or below while spreading significant weight across the 19–22°C range, reflecting genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential frontal passages. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 48 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen