Trader consensus favors a high of 25°C or below at 59% implied probability for Beijing on May 16, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which projects exactly 25°C amid light rain and persistent easterly light breezes. This cooling follows today's overcast high of 31°C under similar winds, as a synoptic pattern shift draws cooler maritime air, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May historical average of around 26°C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains low this close to the event, though cloud cover and precipitation could nudge outcomes toward 24-26°C; monitor overnight model updates and real-time observations from official stations for final positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 16. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 16. Mai?
25°C oder niedriger 59%
26°C 22%
27°C 13%
28°C 5%
$28,220 Vol.
$28,220 Vol.
25°C oder niedriger
59%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
25°C oder niedriger 59%
26°C 22%
27°C 13%
28°C 5%
$28,220 Vol.
$28,220 Vol.
25°C oder niedriger
59%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a high of 25°C or below at 59% implied probability for Beijing on May 16, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, which projects exactly 25°C amid light rain and persistent easterly light breezes. This cooling follows today's overcast high of 31°C under similar winds, as a synoptic pattern shift draws cooler maritime air, suppressing temperatures below the mid-May historical average of around 26°C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains low this close to the event, though cloud cover and precipitation could nudge outcomes toward 24-26°C; monitor overnight model updates and real-time observations from official stations for final positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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