Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 17. Mai?
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 12.8%
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 12.8%
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
NEU
$23,850 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
13°C or below
$506 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,749 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,132 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,903 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,430 Vol.
13%
19°C
$1,308 Vol.
36%
20°C
$1,435 Vol.
29%
21°C
$1,103 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1,889 Vol.
3%
23°C or higher
$3,765 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$23,850Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,850Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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