Latest global and regional model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Beijing’s May 18 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C amid a post-frontal air mass featuring moderating northerly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates surface heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because this central value aligns with the consensus forecast under partly cloudy conditions expected to allow sufficient insolation while limiting extreme warming. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables: earlier cloud clearance could push readings toward 27°C by enhancing radiative heating, whereas persistent overcast or stronger boundary-layer mixing from northerly winds favors the lower end near 25°C. With resolution in under 48 hours, the next suite of high-resolution short-range guidance and real-time CMA observations will be the decisive inputs shaping final market sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Peking am 18. Mai?
25°C 36%
26°C 31%
27°C 24%
28°C 15%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 31%
27°C 24%
28°C 15%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
22°C or below
$526 Vol.
1%
23°C
$262 Vol.
3%
24°C
$222 Vol.
10%
25°C
$50 Vol.
24%
26°C
$196 Vol.
31%
27°C
$84 Vol.
24%
28°C
$27 Vol.
15%
29°C
$105 Vol.
8%
30°C
$61 Vol.
2%
31°C
$139 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$480 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global and regional model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Beijing’s May 18 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C amid a post-frontal air mass featuring moderating northerly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates surface heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because this central value aligns with the consensus forecast under partly cloudy conditions expected to allow sufficient insolation while limiting extreme warming. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables: earlier cloud clearance could push readings toward 27°C by enhancing radiative heating, whereas persistent overcast or stronger boundary-layer mixing from northerly winds favors the lower end near 25°C. With resolution in under 48 hours, the next suite of high-resolution short-range guidance and real-time CMA observations will be the decisive inputs shaping final market sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$2,101Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global and regional model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Beijing’s May 18 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C amid a post-frontal air mass featuring moderating northerly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates surface heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because this central value aligns with the consensus forecast under partly cloudy conditions expected to allow sufficient insolation while limiting extreme warming. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables: earlier cloud clearance could push readings toward 27°C by enhancing radiative heating, whereas persistent overcast or stronger boundary-layer mixing from northerly winds favors the lower end near 25°C. With resolution in under 48 hours, the next suite of high-resolution short-range guidance and real-time CMA observations will be the decisive inputs shaping final market sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,101Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest global and regional model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Beijing’s May 18 maximum will likely settle near 25–27°C amid a post-frontal air mass featuring moderating northerly flow and variable cloud cover that modulates surface heating. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because this central value aligns with the consensus forecast under partly cloudy conditions expected to allow sufficient insolation while limiting extreme warming. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables: earlier cloud clearance could push readings toward 27°C by enhancing radiative heating, whereas persistent overcast or stronger boundary-layer mixing from northerly winds favors the lower end near 25°C. With resolution in under 48 hours, the next suite of high-resolution short-range guidance and real-time CMA observations will be the decisive inputs shaping final market sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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