Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 19%
28°C 12%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 19%
28°C 12%
26°C or below
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
19%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's high temperature on May 16 near 29°C under overcast conditions with a 20-25% chance of light showers, driving trader consensus toward 28-31°C outcomes amid a tight spread. Recent thundershowers on May 14 capped highs at around 26°C after earlier May peaks of 31°C on May 11, introducing uncertainty from a lingering frontal system suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon breaks allowing urban heat island amplification at official stations, with model means hovering at 28.9-29.5°C. New CMA updates and high-resolution runs expected this evening could sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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