Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's May 16 high temperature, with ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 83°F under a building high-pressure ridge bringing sunny skies and light northwest winds of 5 mph. The 84-85°F outcome leads at 31.5% implied probability due to potential for enhanced boundary-layer mixing and maximum solar heating if clouds remain minimal, edging out 82-83°F (25.5%) where slightly higher humidity or early cirrus could cap peaks; lower odds for 86°F+ stem from climatological norms averaging 82°F on May 16. Key differentiator is afternoon convective potential, with official Hartsfield-Jackson Airport observations resolving the market—watch NWS updates at 8 AM and 2 PM EDT for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 12%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 32%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 12%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's May 16 high temperature, with ensembles from GFS and ECMWF models clustering around 83°F under a building high-pressure ridge bringing sunny skies and light northwest winds of 5 mph. The 84-85°F outcome leads at 31.5% implied probability due to potential for enhanced boundary-layer mixing and maximum solar heating if clouds remain minimal, edging out 82-83°F (25.5%) where slightly higher humidity or early cirrus could cap peaks; lower odds for 86°F+ stem from climatological norms averaging 82°F on May 16. Key differentiator is afternoon convective potential, with official Hartsfield-Jackson Airport observations resolving the market—watch NWS updates at 8 AM and 2 PM EDT for shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen