Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (41%) as Miami's highest temperature today at Miami International Airport (KMIA), closely trailed by 92-93°F (37%), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs converging near 91°F—warmer than earlier National Weather Service (NWS) point forecasts of 86-89°F. This shift reflects enhanced subsidence under a strong subtropical ridge, delaying the sea breeze front and promoting peak afternoon heating around 2-5 PM amid low 20-30% shower chances. Current morning observations show mid-80s°F with mostly sunny skies and high humidity near 80%, above May climatological averages (~88°F highs). NWS guidance emphasizes above-normal temperatures, but inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and isolated convection could tip outcomes by 1-2°F; monitor hourly KMIA reports through evening for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Miami on May 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 14?
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 13.5%
88-89°F 4%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 42%
92-93°F 38%
94-95°F 13.5%
88-89°F 4%
$42,732 Vol.
$42,732 Vol.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 90-91°F (41%) as Miami's highest temperature today at Miami International Airport (KMIA), closely trailed by 92-93°F (37%), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs converging near 91°F—warmer than earlier National Weather Service (NWS) point forecasts of 86-89°F. This shift reflects enhanced subsidence under a strong subtropical ridge, delaying the sea breeze front and promoting peak afternoon heating around 2-5 PM amid low 20-30% shower chances. Current morning observations show mid-80s°F with mostly sunny skies and high humidity near 80%, above May climatological averages (~88°F highs). NWS guidance emphasizes above-normal temperatures, but inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and isolated convection could tip outcomes by 1-2°F; monitor hourly KMIA reports through evening for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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