Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
14°C or higher 50%
13°C 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$79,189 Vol.
$79,189 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
50%
14°C or higher 50%
13°C 49%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$79,189 Vol.
$79,189 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Munich's highest temperature today, with 14°C or higher edging out 13°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF ensembles—implying modest afternoon warming to around 13°C if partial cloud breaks allow increased insolation—and cooler GFS runs near 12°C under persistent overcast skies. Morning observations from DWD stations and Munich Airport (EDDM) show temperatures starting at 6–8°C under cloudy conditions influenced by a weak frontal system, typical for mid-May variability when historical highs average 18°C but synoptic patterns suppress peaks. Key differentiator is post-noon cloud evolution; real-time hourly updates from Deutscher Wetterdienst will refine the outcome as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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