Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daily high of 76-77°F for New York City today, driven by moderate southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 72°F at Central Park, and recent days have shown gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the 76-77°F bin reflects high model agreement on afternoon peak temperatures near LaGuardia, with minimal precipitation risk to suppress heating. Only rapid unexpected cloud buildup or a stronger sea breeze could realistically cap the high below 76°F, while clearer conditions or delayed mixing might briefly push readings into the upper 70s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 91%
78-79°F 8%
80-81°F 1.7%
84°F or higher <1%
$142,472 Vol.
$142,472 Vol.
76-77°F
91%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 91%
78-79°F 8%
80-81°F 1.7%
84°F or higher <1%
$142,472 Vol.
$142,472 Vol.
76-77°F
91%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models project a daily high of 76-77°F for New York City today, driven by moderate southerly flow under mostly sunny skies with light winds. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 72°F at Central Park, and recent days have shown gradual warming without extreme heat advection. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the 76-77°F bin reflects high model agreement on afternoon peak temperatures near LaGuardia, with minimal precipitation risk to suppress heating. Only rapid unexpected cloud buildup or a stronger sea breeze could realistically cap the high below 76°F, while clearer conditions or delayed mixing might briefly push readings into the upper 70s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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