Skip to main content
icon for Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?

Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?

Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?

Mai 16

Mai 17

Mai 18

Mai 16

Mai 17

Mai 18

68°F or higher 93.0%

66-67°F 3.0%

64-65°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket
NEU

68°F or higher 93.0%

66-67°F 3.0%

64-65°F <1%

62-63°F <1%

Polymarket
NEU

49°F or below

$383 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$265 Vol.

<1%

52-53°F

$275 Vol.

<1%

54-55°F

$275 Vol.

<1%

56-57°F

$410 Vol.

<1%

58-59°F

$720 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$1,237 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$1,689 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$435 Vol.

1%

66-67°F

$601 Vol.

3%

68°F or higher

$384 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project an 80°F high for San Francisco on May 18 amid a warming pattern driven by clear skies and reduced marine layer influence, supporting the 92.3% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Recent model runs from NOAA show consistent offshore flow and upper-level ridging that has already lifted daytime maxima from the mid-60s earlier in the week, aligning with climatological trends for mid-May when southerly winds can suppress coastal cooling. The dominant consensus reflects trader confidence in these verified guidance products, though late-day marine stratus or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could trim the peak by several degrees before official observations at San Francisco International Airport finalize the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,674
Enddatum
18. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project an 80°F high for San Francisco on May 18 amid a warming pattern driven by clear skies and reduced marine layer influence, supporting the 92.3% market-implied probability for 68°F or higher. Recent model runs from NOAA show consistent offshore flow and upper-level ridging that has already lifted daytime maxima from the mid-60s earlier in the week, aligning with climatological trends for mid-May when southerly winds can suppress coastal cooling. The dominant consensus reflects trader confidence in these verified guidance products, though late-day marine stratus or a faster-than-expected frontal passage could trim the peak by several degrees before official observations at San Francisco International Airport finalize the outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,674
Enddatum
18. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „68°F or higher" mit 93%, gefolgt von „66-67°F" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 93¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 16, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?" ist „68°F or higher" mit 93%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 93% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „66-67°F" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 18. Mai?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.