Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects a high of 23°C for Toronto on May 16 under a mix of sun and cloud with 40% chance of showers, anchoring trader sentiment around 22–23°C with near-even implied probabilities. This reflects tight consensus across GEM and GFS model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s, above the 19°C normal, driven by ridging aloft and warm southerly flow but tempered by Lake Ontario moderation and variable cloud cover. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early precipitation could cap peaks at 21–22°C via evaporative cooling, while delayed or absent showers enable 23–24°C under stronger insolation. Hourly updates expected today may refine this; resolution hinges on Toronto Pearson Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
22°C 30%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 12%
$13,200 Vol.
$13,200 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
20%
22°C
30%
23°C
24%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 12%
$13,200 Vol.
$13,200 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
20%
22°C
30%
23°C
24%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued May 14, projects a high of 23°C for Toronto on May 16 under a mix of sun and cloud with 40% chance of showers, anchoring trader sentiment around 22–23°C with near-even implied probabilities. This reflects tight consensus across GEM and GFS model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s, above the 19°C normal, driven by ridging aloft and warm southerly flow but tempered by Lake Ontario moderation and variable cloud cover. Differentiating factors include shower timing—early precipitation could cap peaks at 21–22°C via evaporative cooling, while delayed or absent showers enable 23–24°C under stronger insolation. Hourly updates expected today may refine this; resolution hinges on Toronto Pearson Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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