Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 16. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 16. Mai?
54-55°F 37%
52-53°F 26%
13-14 °C 19%
58-59°F 8%
NEU
$19,395 Vol.
NEU
$19,395 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
47°F oder niedriger
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
37%
13-14 °C
19%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F oder höher
<1%
54-55°F 37%
52-53°F 26%
13-14 °C 19%
58-59°F 8%
NEU
$19,395 Vol.
NEU
$19,395 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
47°F oder niedriger
$6,468 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$460 Vol.
3%
50-51°F
$2,037 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$1,132 Vol.
26%
54-55°F
$586 Vol.
37%
13-14 °C
$1,219 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$954 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$3,718 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,015 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$785 Vol.
<1%
66°F oder höher
$1,021 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$19,395Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,395Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecast models converging on a high temperature of 53-56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) for May 16, driven by a recent cold front ushering southwesterly onshore flow that advects cool, moist marine air and scattered showers. After record highs near 82°F on May 12, this unseasonably cool pattern—well below the May average of 66°F—has clustered implied probabilities tightly around 52-57°F, with 54-55°F edging ahead at 36.5% over 52-53°F at 29%. Key differentiators include model spread on cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, precipitation timing suppressing peak heating by 2-3°F, and gusty winds limiting surface warming; expect refined odds from afternoon NWS updates as observations confirm boundary layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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