Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 62-63°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s highest temperature on May 17, supporting the 36.5% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit afternoon warming, producing a mild spring maximum consistent with mid-May climatology for the Pacific Northwest. Recent model runs display low spread, keeping odds of 64°F or higher or sub-60°F readings below 25% each. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical baselines near 65°F while noting that official verification at Sea-Tac Airport will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period is observed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 17. Mai?
62-63°F 38%
60-61°F 27%
18 °C oder höher 23%
58-59°F 10%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
45°F oder niedriger
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
38%
18 °C oder höher
23%
62-63°F 38%
60-61°F 27%
18 °C oder höher 23%
58-59°F 10%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
45°F oder niedriger
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$505 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$326 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$547 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,018 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$122 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$472 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$470 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$462 Vol.
27%
62-63°F
$419 Vol.
38%
18 °C oder höher
$609 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 62-63°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s highest temperature on May 17, supporting the 36.5% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit afternoon warming, producing a mild spring maximum consistent with mid-May climatology for the Pacific Northwest. Recent model runs display low spread, keeping odds of 64°F or higher or sub-60°F readings below 25% each. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical baselines near 65°F while noting that official verification at Sea-Tac Airport will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$8,005Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 62-63°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s highest temperature on May 17, supporting the 36.5% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit afternoon warming, producing a mild spring maximum consistent with mid-May climatology for the Pacific Northwest. Recent model runs display low spread, keeping odds of 64°F or higher or sub-60°F readings below 25% each. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical baselines near 65°F while noting that official verification at Sea-Tac Airport will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,005Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEACurrent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts position 62-63°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s highest temperature on May 17, supporting the 36.5% market-implied probability. Stable high pressure and moderate onshore flow are expected to limit afternoon warming, producing a mild spring maximum consistent with mid-May climatology for the Pacific Northwest. Recent model runs display low spread, keeping odds of 64°F or higher or sub-60°F readings below 25% each. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical baselines near 65°F while noting that official verification at Sea-Tac Airport will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period is observed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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