Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 18. Mai?
58°F oder höher 99.4%
56-57°F 1.2%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
39°F oder darunter
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F oder höher
99%
58°F oder höher 99.4%
56-57°F 1.2%
54-55°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
39°F oder darunter
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F oder höher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEARecent National Weather Service forecast guidance for the Pacific Northwest shows a building ridge of high pressure that is expected to limit marine-layer cooling and support daytime highs well into the upper 50s or higher across Seattle on May 18. This atmospheric setup has produced the market-implied odds exceeding 98 percent for a daily maximum of 58 °F or above, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when average highs reach the mid-60s. Model consensus remains strong, though traders continue to monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated runs that could introduce greater onshore flow. Final resolution will depend on official observations recorded at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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