National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, fueling the 99.6% market-implied probability for 57°F or below, as an upper-level trough ushers in cool, moist maritime air through southwesterly onshore flow, fostering persistent stratus clouds and 50-70% shower chances that sharply limit daytime insolation and heating. Recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles reinforce mid-50s peaks, marking a stark cooldown from upper-60s highs earlier this week amid shifting Pacific steering patterns, with morning observations hovering near 50°F further constraining potential. While unexpected afternoon clearing or diminished precipitation could enable brief upper-50s spikes, strong model consensus and climatological May onshore norms around low 60s render this improbable; hourly METARs at KSEA will provide final resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 15. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 15. Mai?
57°F oder darunter 99.6%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,310 Vol.
$32,310 Vol.
57°F oder darunter
100%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20-21 °C
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F oder höher
<1%
57°F oder darunter 99.6%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,310 Vol.
$32,310 Vol.
57°F oder darunter
100%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
20-21 °C
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 56°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport today, fueling the 99.6% market-implied probability for 57°F or below, as an upper-level trough ushers in cool, moist maritime air through southwesterly onshore flow, fostering persistent stratus clouds and 50-70% shower chances that sharply limit daytime insolation and heating. Recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles reinforce mid-50s peaks, marking a stark cooldown from upper-60s highs earlier this week amid shifting Pacific steering patterns, with morning observations hovering near 50°F further constraining potential. While unexpected afternoon clearing or diminished precipitation could enable brief upper-50s spikes, strong model consensus and climatological May onshore norms around low 60s render this improbable; hourly METARs at KSEA will provide final resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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