National Weather Service forecast models project a high of approximately 75°F for Chicago on May 17 under southwesterly flow and partial sunshine following overnight showers, placing the daily maximum well above the 64°F threshold. This outlook aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach about 71°F, and recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the warming trend driven by a strengthening ridge. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 64°F or higher reflects the low probability of a late-season cold front altering the pattern before peak heating. Only an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid cloud cover could drop readings into the low 60s, though current guidance indicates such revisions remain unlikely before the period ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 17. Mai?
18 °C oder höher 99.8%
45°F oder niedriger <1%
48-49°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
NEU
$54,519 Vol.
NEU
$54,519 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
45°F oder niedriger
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
18 °C oder höher
100%
18 °C oder höher 99.8%
45°F oder niedriger <1%
48-49°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
NEU
$54,519 Vol.
NEU
$54,519 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
45°F oder niedriger
$8,231 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$3,610 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$3,168 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$4,537 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$6,517 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,535 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$3,438 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$4,618 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$5,942 Vol.
<1%
18 °C oder höher
$10,462 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a high of approximately 75°F for Chicago on May 17 under southwesterly flow and partial sunshine following overnight showers, placing the daily maximum well above the 64°F threshold. This outlook aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach about 71°F, and recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the warming trend driven by a strengthening ridge. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 64°F or higher reflects the low probability of a late-season cold front altering the pattern before peak heating. Only an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid cloud cover could drop readings into the low 60s, though current guidance indicates such revisions remain unlikely before the period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$54,519Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models project a high of approximately 75°F for Chicago on May 17 under southwesterly flow and partial sunshine following overnight showers, placing the daily maximum well above the 64°F threshold. This outlook aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach about 71°F, and recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the warming trend driven by a strengthening ridge. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 64°F or higher reflects the low probability of a late-season cold front altering the pattern before peak heating. Only an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid cloud cover could drop readings into the low 60s, though current guidance indicates such revisions remain unlikely before the period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$54,519Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDNational Weather Service forecast models project a high of approximately 75°F for Chicago on May 17 under southwesterly flow and partial sunshine following overnight showers, placing the daily maximum well above the 64°F threshold. This outlook aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs reach about 71°F, and recent model runs show minimal disagreement on the warming trend driven by a strengthening ridge. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 64°F or higher reflects the low probability of a late-season cold front altering the pattern before peak heating. Only an unexpected shift in steering currents or rapid cloud cover could drop readings into the low 60s, though current guidance indicates such revisions remain unlikely before the period ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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