Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,940 Vol.
$52,940 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,940 Vol.
$52,940 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official meteorological observations from the Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station recorded a daily maximum of 16°C on May 15, anchoring the market-implied odds at essentially 100% for this outcome. Under a ridging high-pressure system with light easterly flow and mostly clear skies, peak solar insolation produced afternoon boundary-layer heating that aligned precisely with the Finnish Meteorological Institute forecast consensus around 16.5°C, remaining near the May climatological average. Minor model variations in sea-breeze onset from the Gulf of Finland and residual moisture levels could have allowed a brief 17°C spike, yet hourly data through evening confirmed the threshold was not crossed. This tight alignment between real-time station measurements and ensemble guidance leaves little scope for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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