Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 15, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from the city's tropical lowland location at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation combines with 80–90% humidity to amplify heat, often exceeding May's climatological average high of 31°C despite moderating sea breezes. Reduced cloud cover in the past 24 hours' forecast updates has boosted confidence over the 13% odds for exactly 31°C, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a key uncertainty that could cap peaks. Hourly METAR observations from the station will provide definitive data by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 15?
32°C or higher 87%
31°C 12%
30°C 4.0%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
87%
32°C or higher 87%
31°C 12%
30°C 4.0%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for a high of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, Panama, on May 15, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting peak temperatures of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positioning stems from the city's tropical lowland location at 9°N latitude, where intense solar insolation combines with 80–90% humidity to amplify heat, often exceeding May's climatological average high of 31°C despite moderating sea breezes. Reduced cloud cover in the past 24 hours' forecast updates has boosted confidence over the 13% odds for exactly 31°C, though isolated afternoon thunderstorms remain a key uncertainty that could cap peaks. Hourly METAR observations from the station will provide definitive data by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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