Trader consensus for Tokyo's peak temperature on May 17 centers on forecast uncertainty between a typical spring high and brief early-summer warmth, with models showing 29–30 °C as the most probable range. The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest ensemble runs place the city under a strengthening subtropical high, where daytime heating and light southerly flow support maxima near those thresholds. Mid-May climatology averages 23–25 °C, yet recent Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies and reduced cloud cover have lifted guidance by several degrees. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or frontal passage, factors that could still shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. Mai?
30°C or higher 39%
29°C 33%
28°C 19%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
33%
30°C or higher
39%
30°C or higher 39%
29°C 33%
28°C 19%
27°C 5%
NEU
NEU
17. Mai 2026
20°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$475 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$809 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,072 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,047 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,234 Vol.
1%
27°C
$939 Vol.
5%
28°C
$631 Vol.
19%
29°C
$374 Vol.
33%
30°C or higher
$925 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Tokyo's peak temperature on May 17 centers on forecast uncertainty between a typical spring high and brief early-summer warmth, with models showing 29–30 °C as the most probable range. The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest ensemble runs place the city under a strengthening subtropical high, where daytime heating and light southerly flow support maxima near those thresholds. Mid-May climatology averages 23–25 °C, yet recent Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies and reduced cloud cover have lifted guidance by several degrees. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or frontal passage, factors that could still shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$8,429Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Tokyo's peak temperature on May 17 centers on forecast uncertainty between a typical spring high and brief early-summer warmth, with models showing 29–30 °C as the most probable range. The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest ensemble runs place the city under a strengthening subtropical high, where daytime heating and light southerly flow support maxima near those thresholds. Mid-May climatology averages 23–25 °C, yet recent Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies and reduced cloud cover have lifted guidance by several degrees. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or frontal passage, factors that could still shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,429Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTTrader consensus for Tokyo's peak temperature on May 17 centers on forecast uncertainty between a typical spring high and brief early-summer warmth, with models showing 29–30 °C as the most probable range. The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest ensemble runs place the city under a strengthening subtropical high, where daytime heating and light southerly flow support maxima near those thresholds. Mid-May climatology averages 23–25 °C, yet recent Pacific sea-surface temperature anomalies and reduced cloud cover have lifted guidance by several degrees. Resolution hinges on the exact timing of any sea-breeze onset or frontal passage, factors that could still shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model cycles and observational data expected within the next 24 hours will narrow the remaining spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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