Recent numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow over the South China Sea and partial cloud cover that limits peak diurnal heating. Subtropical high-pressure ridging supports gradual warming from overnight lows near 23°C, while elevated boundary-layer moisture and a slight chance of afternoon convection could cap readings below historical May averages of 28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers or wind patterns can alter the observed high by 1–2°C at the official observatory site. Updated guidance from the Observatory later today will refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. Mai?
25°C 43%
26°C 29%
24°C 18.8%
27°C 9%
NEU
$44,626 Vol.
NEU
$44,626 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
19%
25°C
43%
26°C
29%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 43%
26°C 29%
24°C 18.8%
27°C 9%
NEU
$44,626 Vol.
NEU
$44,626 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
19°C or below
$2,541 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,774 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,421 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$9,757 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5,764 Vol.
43%
26°C
$3,846 Vol.
29%
27°C
$4,184 Vol.
9%
28°C
$3,427 Vol.
5%
29°C or higher
$5,761 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow over the South China Sea and partial cloud cover that limits peak diurnal heating. Subtropical high-pressure ridging supports gradual warming from overnight lows near 23°C, while elevated boundary-layer moisture and a slight chance of afternoon convection could cap readings below historical May averages of 28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers or wind patterns can alter the observed high by 1–2°C at the official observatory site. Updated guidance from the Observatory later today will refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$44,626Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow over the South China Sea and partial cloud cover that limits peak diurnal heating. Subtropical high-pressure ridging supports gradual warming from overnight lows near 23°C, while elevated boundary-layer moisture and a slight chance of afternoon convection could cap readings below historical May averages of 28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers or wind patterns can alter the observed high by 1–2°C at the official observatory site. Updated guidance from the Observatory later today will refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,626Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow over the South China Sea and partial cloud cover that limits peak diurnal heating. Subtropical high-pressure ridging supports gradual warming from overnight lows near 23°C, while elevated boundary-layer moisture and a slight chance of afternoon convection could cap readings below historical May averages of 28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because small shifts in timing or intensity of any showers or wind patterns can alter the observed high by 1–2°C at the official observatory site. Updated guidance from the Observatory later today will refine the consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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