Recent weather model consensus from official monitoring agencies indicates a highest temperature of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, shaped by persistent southerly flow, moderate boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover typical of late-spring subtropical conditions. The tight clustering between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from small differences in how models resolve potential brief showers and the strength of upper-level ridging, each of which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 28°C serve as the baseline, while ongoing observations of sea-surface temperatures and local wind patterns will refine the final maximum. Traders await the next official forecast update for any shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 18. Mai?
28°C 36%
27°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEU
$19,782 Vol.
NEU
$19,782 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
31%
28°C
36%
29°C
9%
30°C
6%
31°C oder höher
1%
28°C 36%
27°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEU
$19,782 Vol.
NEU
$19,782 Vol.
18. Mai 2026
21°C oder weniger
$652 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$780 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13,385 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$730 Vol.
1%
25°C
$991 Vol.
4%
26°C
$857 Vol.
13%
27°C
$426 Vol.
31%
28°C
$410 Vol.
36%
29°C
$577 Vol.
9%
30°C
$614 Vol.
6%
31°C oder höher
$360 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from official monitoring agencies indicates a highest temperature of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, shaped by persistent southerly flow, moderate boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover typical of late-spring subtropical conditions. The tight clustering between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from small differences in how models resolve potential brief showers and the strength of upper-level ridging, each of which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 28°C serve as the baseline, while ongoing observations of sea-surface temperatures and local wind patterns will refine the final maximum. Traders await the next official forecast update for any shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$19,782Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model consensus from official monitoring agencies indicates a highest temperature of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, shaped by persistent southerly flow, moderate boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover typical of late-spring subtropical conditions. The tight clustering between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from small differences in how models resolve potential brief showers and the strength of upper-level ridging, each of which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 28°C serve as the baseline, while ongoing observations of sea-surface temperatures and local wind patterns will refine the final maximum. Traders await the next official forecast update for any shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,782Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from official monitoring agencies indicates a highest temperature of 27–28°C in Hong Kong on May 18, shaped by persistent southerly flow, moderate boundary-layer moisture, and variable afternoon cloud cover typical of late-spring subtropical conditions. The tight clustering between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes stems from small differences in how models resolve potential brief showers and the strength of upper-level ridging, each of which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 28°C serve as the baseline, while ongoing observations of sea-surface temperatures and local wind patterns will refine the final maximum. Traders await the next official forecast update for any shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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