Recent Met Office forecasts project a minimum temperature of 7°C in London overnight on May 16, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling at the surface and light westerly winds around 5–9 mph that limit boundary-layer mixing. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms near 8°C while suppressing the steeper drops possible under clear skies. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this range, though any unexpected partial clearing could allow additional heat loss and nudge readings toward 6°C or below, particularly outside the urban heat island influence of central London where minima are typically 1–2°C warmer than rural sites. Updated hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. Mai?
7°C 99.6%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$22,407 Vol.
$22,407 Vol.
0°C oder darunter
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C oder höher
<1%
7°C 99.6%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$22,407 Vol.
$22,407 Vol.
0°C oder darunter
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office forecasts project a minimum temperature of 7°C in London overnight on May 16, driven by persistent low-level cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling at the surface and light westerly winds around 5–9 mph that limit boundary-layer mixing. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms near 8°C while suppressing the steeper drops possible under clear skies. Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS supports this range, though any unexpected partial clearing could allow additional heat loss and nudge readings toward 6°C or below, particularly outside the urban heat island influence of central London where minima are typically 1–2°C warmer than rural sites. Updated hourly observations through the night will determine final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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