Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. Mai?
19°C 37%
20°C 24%
18°C 22%
21°C 16%
$11,330 Vol.
$11,330 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
37%
20°C
24%
21°C
16%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
19°C 37%
20°C 24%
18°C 22%
21°C 16%
$11,330 Vol.
$11,330 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
37%
20°C
24%
21°C
16%
22°C
2%
23°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACLatest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus place Ankara’s May 17 high near 19°C under stable high pressure and light northerly flow, aligning with mid-May climatology where average peaks reach 21–22°C. Trader sentiment has converged on the 19°C outcome at 38.5% implied probability because ensemble runs show limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover and modest humidity, keeping temperatures from climbing further. Recent model updates have slightly cooled expectations from the 20–21°C range observed on May 16, reinforcing the 18–20°C bracket that holds over 85% combined probability. Resolution hinges on the official reading at Esenboğa International Airport, with final model guidance expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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