Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 18. Mai?
17°C 37%
16°C 24%
18°C 19%
15°C 8%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
24%
17°C
37%
18°C
19%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
3%
17°C 37%
16°C 24%
18°C 19%
15°C 8%
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
24%
17°C
37%
18°C
19%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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