Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 18. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 18. Mai?
11°C oder darunter 48%
15°C 30%
21°C oder höher 21%
14°C 19%
11°C oder darunter
48%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
30%
16°C
19%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C oder höher
21%
11°C oder darunter 48%
15°C 30%
21°C oder höher 21%
14°C 19%
11°C oder darunter
48%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
30%
16°C
19%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C oder höher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts for Seoul's May 18 minimum temperature, with outcomes clustered evenly around 12–16°C as KMA guidance projects a low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and a daytime high of 28°C at nearby Incheon. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration updates show a stable high-pressure ridge delivering warmer-than-average spring conditions, with minima rising from 13°C on May 14 to 15–16°C through May 17 amid minimal cloud cover favoring radiative cooling. Differentiating factors include exact wind speeds—calmer flows could drop to 12–14°C via enhanced cooling—versus residual daytime heat pushing toward 17–19°C, per AccuWeather's 19°C estimate. New KMA short-term forecasts and ECMWF/GFS runs by May 17 will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Seoul station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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