Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts showing Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 likely between 14–16°C, with 15°C holding a slim 30.5% implied probability edge over 16°C at 26%, amid a recent heatwave pushing daytime highs above 30°C since May 13 under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, potentially dipping to 13°C or below (18.5% odds) if winds remain light, but residual heat and urban heat island effects in Seoul could hold minima higher; historical mid-May averages hover near 15°C, amplifying model ensemble spread. Watch KMA's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Mai?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 16. Mai?
15°C 34%
16°C 31%
13°C oder darunter 13%
14°C 13%
NEU
NEU
16. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
31%
16°C
25%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 34%
16°C 31%
13°C oder darunter 13%
14°C 13%
NEU
NEU
16. Mai 2026
13°C oder darunter
$43 Vol.
13%
14°C
$13 Vol.
13%
15°C
$14 Vol.
31%
16°C
$16 Vol.
25%
17°C
$36 Vol.
1%
18°C
$369 Vol.
1%
19°C
$319 Vol.
1%
20°C
$685 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$3,847 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts showing Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 likely between 14–16°C, with 15°C holding a slim 30.5% implied probability edge over 16°C at 26%, amid a recent heatwave pushing daytime highs above 30°C since May 13 under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, potentially dipping to 13°C or below (18.5% odds) if winds remain light, but residual heat and urban heat island effects in Seoul could hold minima higher; historical mid-May averages hover near 15°C, amplifying model ensemble spread. Watch KMA's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$7,088Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts showing Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 likely between 14–16°C, with 15°C holding a slim 30.5% implied probability edge over 16°C at 26%, amid a recent heatwave pushing daytime highs above 30°C since May 13 under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, potentially dipping to 13°C or below (18.5% odds) if winds remain light, but residual heat and urban heat island effects in Seoul could hold minima higher; historical mid-May averages hover near 15°C, amplifying model ensemble spread. Watch KMA's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,088Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket reflects Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts showing Seoul's lowest temperature on May 16 likely between 14–16°C, with 15°C holding a slim 30.5% implied probability edge over 16°C at 26%, amid a recent heatwave pushing daytime highs above 30°C since May 13 under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Clear skies favor radiational cooling overnight, potentially dipping to 13°C or below (18.5% odds) if winds remain light, but residual heat and urban heat island effects in Seoul could hold minima higher; historical mid-May averages hover near 15°C, amplifying model ensemble spread. Watch KMA's daily updates tomorrow for refined guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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