Andy Burnham leads the trader consensus at 51.7% due to his strong positioning as a potential successor amid mounting pressure on Keir Starmer following Labour’s weak local election results. Recent developments, including Wes Streeting’s resignation and calls from dozens of MPs for a leadership timetable, have elevated Burnham’s profile as Greater Manchester mayor with broad party and public support. His planned return to Parliament via a Makerfield by-election further strengthens his path to a contest. Angela Rayner’s tax clearance has kept her at 11.5%, while Wes Streeting holds 9.5% as a centrist challenger. Traders view these odds as reflecting the current uncertainty over whether Starmer will set a departure schedule before any formal vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAndy Burnham 52.7%
Kein neuer Premierminister im Jahr 2026 16%
Angela Rayner 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
$7,159,343 Vol.
$7,159,343 Vol.
Andy Burnham
53%
Kein neuer Premierminister im Jahr 2026
16%
Angela Rayner
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
Andy Burnham 52.7%
Kein neuer Premierminister im Jahr 2026 16%
Angela Rayner 12%
Wes Streeting 10%
$7,159,343 Vol.
$7,159,343 Vol.
Andy Burnham
53%
Kein neuer Premierminister im Jahr 2026
16%
Angela Rayner
12%
Wes Streeting
10%
Ed Miliband
7%
Al Carns
3%
Nigel Farage
1%
Shabana Mahmood
1%
Yvette Cooper
1%
Lucy Powell
<1%
Rachel Reeves
<1%
David Lammy
<1%
Kemi Badenoch
<1%
Boris Johnson
<1%
Ed Davey
<1%
Bridget Phillipson
<1%
Rupert Lowe
<1%
Robert Jenrick
<1%
James Cleverly
<1%
Darren Jones
<1%
John Healey
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andy Burnham leads the trader consensus at 51.7% due to his strong positioning as a potential successor amid mounting pressure on Keir Starmer following Labour’s weak local election results. Recent developments, including Wes Streeting’s resignation and calls from dozens of MPs for a leadership timetable, have elevated Burnham’s profile as Greater Manchester mayor with broad party and public support. His planned return to Parliament via a Makerfield by-election further strengthens his path to a contest. Angela Rayner’s tax clearance has kept her at 11.5%, while Wes Streeting holds 9.5% as a centrist challenger. Traders view these odds as reflecting the current uncertainty over whether Starmer will set a departure schedule before any formal vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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