Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who has represented New Jersey’s 4th district since 1981 and secured 67.4% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Peace in the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, anchored in Monmouth and Ocean counties, combined with Smith’s unopposed primary and long-standing incumbency advantages, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Recent party endorsements and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced this positioning. A major shift could occur only through late-breaking events such as health developments affecting the incumbent, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout that narrows historical margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-04 Wahlsieger
NJ-04 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
NEU
NEU
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$5,448 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$4,026 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who has represented New Jersey’s 4th district since 1981 and secured 67.4% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Peace in the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, anchored in Monmouth and Ocean counties, combined with Smith’s unopposed primary and long-standing incumbency advantages, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Recent party endorsements and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced this positioning. A major shift could occur only through late-breaking events such as health developments affecting the incumbent, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$9,474Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who has represented New Jersey’s 4th district since 1981 and secured 67.4% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Peace in the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, anchored in Monmouth and Ocean counties, combined with Smith’s unopposed primary and long-standing incumbency advantages, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Recent party endorsements and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced this positioning. A major shift could occur only through late-breaking events such as health developments affecting the incumbent, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout that narrows historical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,474Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who has represented New Jersey’s 4th district since 1981 and secured 67.4% of the vote in 2024, faces Democrat Rachel Peace in the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Republican lean, anchored in Monmouth and Ocean counties, combined with Smith’s unopposed primary and long-standing incumbency advantages, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Recent party endorsements and the absence of competitive primary challenges have reinforced this positioning. A major shift could occur only through late-breaking events such as health developments affecting the incumbent, significant national political realignment, or unexpectedly high Democratic turnout that narrows historical margins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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