Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3 election, reflecting the area’s Republican lean and his established record. The district carries a Cook PVI of R+5 and supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential contests, while Van Drew won reelection in 2024 by 17 points. Recent forecaster ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Safe or Likely Republican. A late-October debate highlighted policy differences on tariffs, health costs, immigration, and energy, but produced no evident shift in positioning. Democratic challenger Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor, received a Philadelphia Inquirer endorsement and benefits from added DCCC targeting plus outside spending, yet limited polling and models continue to project Van Drew ahead by roughly six points. Trader consensus at 80% for Van Drew incorporates these structural and recent factors.