Jeff Van Drew maintains a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s Republican lean, reflected in its Cook PVI of R+5 and the incumbent’s 17-point victory in 2024. A single October poll showed Van Drew ahead by 10 points, and forecasters rate the race Likely Republican or better. Recent developments include Democratic outside spending exceeding $1.5 million and a Philadelphia Inquirer endorsement for challenger Zack Mullock, alongside a late-October debate where the candidates traded attacks over national policy and Trump alignment. Van Drew’s fundraising advantage, with roughly $900,000 cash on hand versus Mullock’s $105,000, reinforces his position as the election approaches on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district fundamentals and limited polling.