Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am consistently projected at 4–6 seats, with averages around five amid fluctuating Arab-sector turnout and competition from the Joint List. The party's late-August technical alliance with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz and its September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and Balad aim to consolidate Arab votes and reduce wasted ballots under the Bader-Ofer method, yet recent surveys still split closely between four, five, and six mandates. Right-wing petitions to disqualify Ra'am have heightened short-term uncertainty, though similar past efforts have failed at the High Court. Traders price the narrow range because modest shifts in Arab voter mobilization or final list positioning could determine whether Ra'am secures a surplus seat or falls short.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert5 32%
4 27%
6 19.3%
<4 16.3%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
11%
4
27%
5
32%
6
31%
7
16%
8+
3%
5 32%
4 27%
6 19.3%
<4 16.3%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4
$1,108 Vol.
11%
4
$1,807 Vol.
27%
5
$1,177 Vol.
32%
6
$1,526 Vol.
31%
7
$1,091 Vol.
16%
8+
$895 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am consistently projected at 4–6 seats, with averages around five amid fluctuating Arab-sector turnout and competition from the Joint List. The party's late-August technical alliance with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz and its September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and Balad aim to consolidate Arab votes and reduce wasted ballots under the Bader-Ofer method, yet recent surveys still split closely between four, five, and six mandates. Right-wing petitions to disqualify Ra'am have heightened short-term uncertainty, though similar past efforts have failed at the High Court. Traders price the narrow range because modest shifts in Arab voter mobilization or final list positioning could determine whether Ra'am secures a surplus seat or falls short.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$7,604Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am consistently projected at 4–6 seats, with averages around five amid fluctuating Arab-sector turnout and competition from the Joint List. The party's late-August technical alliance with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz and its September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and Balad aim to consolidate Arab votes and reduce wasted ballots under the Bader-Ofer method, yet recent surveys still split closely between four, five, and six mandates. Right-wing petitions to disqualify Ra'am have heightened short-term uncertainty, though similar past efforts have failed at the High Court. Traders price the narrow range because modest shifts in Arab voter mobilization or final list positioning could determine whether Ra'am secures a surplus seat or falls short.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$7,604Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Ra'am consistently projected at 4–6 seats, with averages around five amid fluctuating Arab-sector turnout and competition from the Joint List. The party's late-August technical alliance with former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz and its September 12 surplus-vote agreement with Hadash-Ta'al and Balad aim to consolidate Arab votes and reduce wasted ballots under the Bader-Ofer method, yet recent surveys still split closely between four, five, and six mandates. Right-wing petitions to disqualify Ra'am have heightened short-term uncertainty, though similar past efforts have failed at the High Court. Traders price the narrow range because modest shifts in Arab voter mobilization or final list positioning could determine whether Ra'am secures a surplus seat or falls short.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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