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icon for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
Politik·Spanien

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

icon for No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
Politik·Spanien

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,458
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's Congress requires an absolute majority of 176 votes to pass a constructive no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a threshold the opposition Partido Popular has not secured. Key supporting parties, including Catalan groups such as Junts, have signaled they will not back any motion that risks transferring power to a PP-Vox alliance, citing concerns over far-right influence. Recent regional election setbacks for the PSOE and ongoing corruption investigations have intensified opposition calls for Sánchez's removal, yet no parliamentary arithmetic or procedural steps indicate an imminent vote before the June 30 cutoff. Trader consensus at 95.5% for "No" reflects these stable coalition dynamics. A rapid realignment among nationalist parties or an unexpected floor vote triggered by new disclosures could still alter the outcome in the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,458
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 21, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 5¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 5%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?" liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.