Cait Conley secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, establishing the large margin reflected in current trader consensus. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official, Conley consolidated support across the district’s four counties against a fragmented field that included Beth Davidson and three other candidates. Endorsements from organized groups and her profile as a newcomer helped drive turnout and vote share in a race resolved on primary night. Official projections and reporting indicate an approximately 18-point edge over the nearest rival. While final certification or a formal recount could theoretically adjust totals, the scale of the reported lead makes shifts below 15 points highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-17 Demokratische Primärmarge des Sieges
NY-17 Demokratische Primärmarge des Sieges
Conley 15%+ 98.0%
Conley 5–10 % 1.5%
Conley 10–15 % <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$54,938 Vol.
$54,938 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
Conley 15%+
98%
Conley 10–15 %
1%
Conley 5–10 %
2%
Conley <5%
<1%
Conley 15%+ 98.0%
Conley 5–10 % 1.5%
Conley 10–15 % <1%
Conley <5% <1%
$54,938 Vol.
$54,938 Vol.
23. Juni 2026
Conley 15%+
$19,275 Vol.
98%
Conley 10–15 %
$23,361 Vol.
1%
Conley 5–10 %
$4,886 Vol.
2%
Conley <5%
$4,532 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, establishing the large margin reflected in current trader consensus. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official, Conley consolidated support across the district’s four counties against a fragmented field that included Beth Davidson and three other candidates. Endorsements from organized groups and her profile as a newcomer helped drive turnout and vote share in a race resolved on primary night. Official projections and reporting indicate an approximately 18-point edge over the nearest rival. While final certification or a formal recount could theoretically adjust totals, the scale of the reported lead makes shifts below 15 points highly improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Volumen
$54,938Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Cait Conley secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, establishing the large margin reflected in current trader consensus. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official, Conley consolidated support across the district’s four counties against a fragmented field that included Beth Davidson and three other candidates. Endorsements from organized groups and her profile as a newcomer helped drive turnout and vote share in a race resolved on primary night. Official projections and reporting indicate an approximately 18-point edge over the nearest rival. While final certification or a formal recount could theoretically adjust totals, the scale of the reported lead makes shifts below 15 points highly improbable.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$54,938Enddatum
23. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cait Conley secured a decisive victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 17th congressional district, establishing the large margin reflected in current trader consensus. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official, Conley consolidated support across the district’s four counties against a fragmented field that included Beth Davidson and three other candidates. Endorsements from organized groups and her profile as a newcomer helped drive turnout and vote share in a race resolved on primary night. Official projections and reporting indicate an approximately 18-point edge over the nearest rival. While final certification or a formal recount could theoretically adjust totals, the scale of the reported lead makes shifts below 15 points highly improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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