Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, finishing first in a crowded field that included Alex Bores, Jack Schlossberg, and others. Official results showed Lasher at 39.1 percent and Bores at 35.0 percent, producing a margin of roughly 4.1 points. This outcome aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5 percent victory for Lasher, reflecting confirmed vote tallies from a district where endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerry Nadler and strong performance on the Upper East Side proved decisive. Remaining uncertainty centers on any late-stage recount requests or formal certification adjustments, though historical precedent in New York primaries indicates such challenges rarely alter margins of this size once preliminary counts are released.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLasher <5% 98.0%
Lasher 5–10 % 2.3%
Lasher 15 %+ <1%
Lasher 10–15 % <1%
$94,975 Vol.
$94,975 Vol.
24. Juni 2026
Lasher 15 %+
<1%
Lasher 10–15 %
<1%
Lasher 5–10 %
2%
Lasher <5%
98%
Lasher <5% 98.0%
Lasher 5–10 % 2.3%
Lasher 15 %+ <1%
Lasher 10–15 % <1%
$94,975 Vol.
$94,975 Vol.
24. Juni 2026
Lasher 15 %+
$4,681 Vol.
<1%
Lasher 10–15 %
$4,346 Vol.
<1%
Lasher 5–10 %
$5,755 Vol.
2%
Lasher <5%
$14,577 Vol.
98%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, finishing first in a crowded field that included Alex Bores, Jack Schlossberg, and others. Official results showed Lasher at 39.1 percent and Bores at 35.0 percent, producing a margin of roughly 4.1 points. This outcome aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5 percent victory for Lasher, reflecting confirmed vote tallies from a district where endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerry Nadler and strong performance on the Upper East Side proved decisive. Remaining uncertainty centers on any late-stage recount requests or formal certification adjustments, though historical precedent in New York primaries indicates such challenges rarely alter margins of this size once preliminary counts are released.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volumen
$94,975Enddatum
24. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, finishing first in a crowded field that included Alex Bores, Jack Schlossberg, and others. Official results showed Lasher at 39.1 percent and Bores at 35.0 percent, producing a margin of roughly 4.1 points. This outcome aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5 percent victory for Lasher, reflecting confirmed vote tallies from a district where endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerry Nadler and strong performance on the Upper East Side proved decisive. Remaining uncertainty centers on any late-stage recount requests or formal certification adjustments, though historical precedent in New York primaries indicates such challenges rarely alter margins of this size once preliminary counts are released.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$94,975Enddatum
24. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micah Lasher secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 12th Congressional District on June 23, 2026, finishing first in a crowded field that included Alex Bores, Jack Schlossberg, and others. Official results showed Lasher at 39.1 percent and Bores at 35.0 percent, producing a margin of roughly 4.1 points. This outcome aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward a sub-5 percent victory for Lasher, reflecting confirmed vote tallies from a district where endorsements from retiring incumbent Jerry Nadler and strong performance on the Upper East Side proved decisive. Remaining uncertainty centers on any late-stage recount requests or formal certification adjustments, though historical precedent in New York primaries indicates such challenges rarely alter margins of this size once preliminary counts are released.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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