Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply constrained actual OPEC and OPEC+ crude output, driving recent declines to multi-decade lows. OPEC+ output averaged 33.19 million barrels per day in April, down 1.74 million from March, as Gulf producers faced export disruptions despite prior quota adjustments. The group approved a modest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for June in early May, the third consecutive hike, though these targets remain largely symbolic given ongoing logistical constraints. OPEC also revised its 2026 global demand growth forecast downward to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders monitor any signs of de-escalation that could restore flows through the Strait, alongside secondary-source data releases tracking compliance and actual volumes for the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
11. Juni 2026
18 Million
28%
19 Million
26%
20 Million
14%
21 Million
9%
$3,965 Vol.
18 Million
$689 Vol.
28%
19 Million
$1,126 Vol.
26%
20 Million
$1,185 Vol.
14%
21 Million
$965 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply constrained actual OPEC and OPEC+ crude output, driving recent declines to multi-decade lows. OPEC+ output averaged 33.19 million barrels per day in April, down 1.74 million from March, as Gulf producers faced export disruptions despite prior quota adjustments. The group approved a modest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for June in early May, the third consecutive hike, though these targets remain largely symbolic given ongoing logistical constraints. OPEC also revised its 2026 global demand growth forecast downward to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders monitor any signs of de-escalation that could restore flows through the Strait, alongside secondary-source data releases tracking compliance and actual volumes for the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Volumen
$3,965Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply constrained actual OPEC and OPEC+ crude output, driving recent declines to multi-decade lows. OPEC+ output averaged 33.19 million barrels per day in April, down 1.74 million from March, as Gulf producers faced export disruptions despite prior quota adjustments. The group approved a modest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for June in early May, the third consecutive hike, though these targets remain largely symbolic given ongoing logistical constraints. OPEC also revised its 2026 global demand growth forecast downward to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders monitor any signs of de-escalation that could restore flows through the Strait, alongside secondary-source data releases tracking compliance and actual volumes for the month.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OPEC crude oil production (barrels per day) for the month of May, 2026, as reported in the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Volumen
$3,965Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict, have sharply constrained actual OPEC and OPEC+ crude output, driving recent declines to multi-decade lows. OPEC+ output averaged 33.19 million barrels per day in April, down 1.74 million from March, as Gulf producers faced export disruptions despite prior quota adjustments. The group approved a modest 188,000 barrels-per-day quota increase for June in early May, the third consecutive hike, though these targets remain largely symbolic given ongoing logistical constraints. OPEC also revised its 2026 global demand growth forecast downward to 1.17 million barrels per day. Traders monitor any signs of de-escalation that could restore flows through the Strait, alongside secondary-source data releases tracking compliance and actual volumes for the month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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