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Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

PA-08 Wahlsieger

icon for PA-08 Wahlsieger
Wahlen·4. Nov. Wahlen

PA-08 Wahlsieger

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU

Demokratische Partei

$3,621 Vol.

70%

Republikanische Partei

$2,220 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrat Paige Gebhardt Cognetti facing Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan Jr. Bresnahan captured the seat in 2024 by defeating longtime Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright by under two points. Cognetti, Scranton mayor with prior state and federal experience, won her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and has led or tied Bresnahan in limited June polling. Midterm dynamics typically favor the out-of-power party, while local candidate strength and fundraising position Cognetti as the frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates ran largely unopposed in primaries, leaving the general election contest focused on turnout in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,842
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election, with Democrat Paige Gebhardt Cognetti facing Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan Jr. Bresnahan captured the seat in 2024 by defeating longtime Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright by under two points. Cognetti, Scranton mayor with prior state and federal experience, won her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and has led or tied Bresnahan in limited June polling. Midterm dynamics typically favor the out-of-power party, while local candidate strength and fundraising position Cognetti as the frontrunner in trader assessments. Both candidates ran largely unopposed in primaries, leaving the general election contest focused on turnout in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,842
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Bezirks PA-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz des Bezirks PA-07 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

76%
Ja
icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk PA-09 gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz des Repräsentantenhauses im Bezirk PA-09 gewinnen?

97%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus von NJ-08 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus von NJ-08 gewinnen?

95%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„PA-08 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokratische Partei" mit 70%, gefolgt von „Republikanische Partei" mit 29%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 70¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„PA-08 Wahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Dec 16, 2025. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „PA-08 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „PA-08 Wahlsieger" ist „Demokratische Partei" mit 70%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Republikanische Partei" mit 29%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „PA-08 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.