Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai underpins the 72.5% implied probability for second place by August 31. Recent Gemini model iterations and extended reasoning enhancements have delivered competitive mathematical problem-solving scores, placing the lab behind the current leader while outpacing most rivals in community-voted matchups. Trader consensus reflects stable mid-August performance data and limited near-term disruption from competitors, though new releases from Anthropic or OpenAI could shift rankings before resolution. Other labs trail due to narrower math-specific gains or lower arena participation, with low single-digit odds underscoring barriers like benchmark volatility and model update timelines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGoogle 73%
Alibaba 22.4%
Anthropic 3.6%
OpenAI 1.5%
$68,156 Vol.
$68,156 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
73%
Alibaba
22%
Anthropic
4%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 73%
Alibaba 22.4%
Anthropic 3.6%
OpenAI 1.5%
$68,156 Vol.
$68,156 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
$24,955 Vol.
73%
Alibaba
$12,403 Vol.
22%
Anthropic
$8,849 Vol.
4%
OpenAI
$2,680 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$2,198 Vol.
1%
Meta
$2,489 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$2,026 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$1,812 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,119 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$804 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$500 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,531 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$709 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$556 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$554 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$915 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$577 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$667 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai underpins the 72.5% implied probability for second place by August 31. Recent Gemini model iterations and extended reasoning enhancements have delivered competitive mathematical problem-solving scores, placing the lab behind the current leader while outpacing most rivals in community-voted matchups. Trader consensus reflects stable mid-August performance data and limited near-term disruption from competitors, though new releases from Anthropic or OpenAI could shift rankings before resolution. Other labs trail due to narrower math-specific gains or lower arena participation, with low single-digit odds underscoring barriers like benchmark volatility and model update timelines.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volumen
$68,156Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai underpins the 72.5% implied probability for second place by August 31. Recent Gemini model iterations and extended reasoning enhancements have delivered competitive mathematical problem-solving scores, placing the lab behind the current leader while outpacing most rivals in community-voted matchups. Trader consensus reflects stable mid-August performance data and limited near-term disruption from competitors, though new releases from Anthropic or OpenAI could shift rankings before resolution. Other labs trail due to narrower math-specific gains or lower arena participation, with low single-digit odds underscoring barriers like benchmark volatility and model update timelines.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$68,156Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math leaderboard on arena.ai underpins the 72.5% implied probability for second place by August 31. Recent Gemini model iterations and extended reasoning enhancements have delivered competitive mathematical problem-solving scores, placing the lab behind the current leader while outpacing most rivals in community-voted matchups. Trader consensus reflects stable mid-August performance data and limited near-term disruption from competitors, though new releases from Anthropic or OpenAI could shift rankings before resolution. Other labs trail due to narrower math-specific gains or lower arena participation, with low single-digit odds underscoring barriers like benchmark volatility and model update timelines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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