Recent releases and benchmark updates on the Text Arena math category show Anthropic's Claude models holding the top spot through superior reasoning performance on competition-level problems. This positions Google as the frontrunner for second place at 33.5% implied probability, driven by Gemini's consistent gains in multimodal math tasks and platform integration. Z.ai and Alibaba follow at 19.5% and 13.5%, respectively, reflecting strong showings from GLM and Qwen series models in Elo ratings and AIME-style evaluations. Traders weigh upcoming October releases, developer ecosystem adoption, and any shifts in leaderboard volatility as key swing factors, noting that tight gaps among mid-tier labs could realign sentiment with new capability demonstrations before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGoogle 35%
Alibaba 13%
Z.ai 10%
Xiaomi 9%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
35%
Alibaba
13%
Z.ai
23%
Xiaomi
9%
DeepSeek
9%
Baidu
8%
Anthropic
5%
ByteDance
5%
Meituan
5%
Amazon
5%
OpenAI
5%
Meta
4%
Microsoft
4%
StepFun
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Moonshot
3%
Tencent
2%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Google 35%
Alibaba 13%
Z.ai 10%
Xiaomi 9%
NEU
NEU
31. Okt. 2026
$1,023 Vol.
35%
Alibaba
$251 Vol.
13%
Z.ai
$146 Vol.
23%
Xiaomi
$62 Vol.
9%
DeepSeek
$57 Vol.
9%
Baidu
$62 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$92 Vol.
5%
ByteDance
$130 Vol.
5%
Meituan
$296 Vol.
5%
Amazon
$191 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$52 Vol.
5%
Meta
$62 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$258 Vol.
4%
StepFun
$145 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$57 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$62 Vol.
3%
Tencent
$215 Vol.
2%
Nvidia
$206 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$97 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark updates on the Text Arena math category show Anthropic's Claude models holding the top spot through superior reasoning performance on competition-level problems. This positions Google as the frontrunner for second place at 33.5% implied probability, driven by Gemini's consistent gains in multimodal math tasks and platform integration. Z.ai and Alibaba follow at 19.5% and 13.5%, respectively, reflecting strong showings from GLM and Qwen series models in Elo ratings and AIME-style evaluations. Traders weigh upcoming October releases, developer ecosystem adoption, and any shifts in leaderboard volatility as key swing factors, noting that tight gaps among mid-tier labs could realign sentiment with new capability demonstrations before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$3,586Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark updates on the Text Arena math category show Anthropic's Claude models holding the top spot through superior reasoning performance on competition-level problems. This positions Google as the frontrunner for second place at 33.5% implied probability, driven by Gemini's consistent gains in multimodal math tasks and platform integration. Z.ai and Alibaba follow at 19.5% and 13.5%, respectively, reflecting strong showings from GLM and Qwen series models in Elo ratings and AIME-style evaluations. Traders weigh upcoming October releases, developer ecosystem adoption, and any shifts in leaderboard volatility as key swing factors, noting that tight gaps among mid-tier labs could realign sentiment with new capability demonstrations before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$3,586Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and benchmark updates on the Text Arena math category show Anthropic's Claude models holding the top spot through superior reasoning performance on competition-level problems. This positions Google as the frontrunner for second place at 33.5% implied probability, driven by Gemini's consistent gains in multimodal math tasks and platform integration. Z.ai and Alibaba follow at 19.5% and 13.5%, respectively, reflecting strong showings from GLM and Qwen series models in Elo ratings and AIME-style evaluations. Traders weigh upcoming October releases, developer ecosystem adoption, and any shifts in leaderboard volatility as key swing factors, noting that tight gaps among mid-tier labs could realign sentiment with new capability demonstrations before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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