Recent developments in frontier math reasoning, including OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes solution and multiple labs advancing on AIME26 and FrontierMath benchmarks, underpin trader sentiment in the TextArena Math category. With Anthropic models currently dominating live arena Elo scores, the race for second place among labs remains tight through November. Google’s Gemini variants and Z.ai’s GLM series show strong competitive positioning via consistent high scores and open-weight releases, while OpenAI, Meta, and Alibaba trail on current math-specific leaderboards but benefit from rapid iteration potential. Key differentiators include inference-time scaling, tool-use integration, and verified performance on hard reasoning prompts. Traders appear focused on near-term model updates and arena vote momentum as the primary swing factors before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMiniMax 26%
Alibaba 25%
Meta 25%
Nvidia 25%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
MiniMax
26%
Alibaba
25%
Meta
25%
Nvidia
25%
Z.ai
24%
Mistral
24%
23%
Amazon
22%
OpenAI
21%
Xiaomi
19%
SpaceXAI
14%
ByteDance
14%
Moonshot
24%
Meituan
13%
StepFun
13%
Thinky
13%
DeepSeek
11%
Anthropic
11%
Baidu
10%
Microsoft
9%
Tencent
8%
MiniMax 26%
Alibaba 25%
Meta 25%
Nvidia 25%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
MiniMax
$33 Vol.
26%
Alibaba
$33 Vol.
25%
Meta
$33 Vol.
25%
Nvidia
$33 Vol.
25%
Z.ai
$33 Vol.
24%
Mistral
$33 Vol.
24%
$33 Vol.
23%
Amazon
$119 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$33 Vol.
21%
Xiaomi
$33 Vol.
19%
SpaceXAI
$33 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$33 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$77 Vol.
24%
Meituan
$33 Vol.
13%
StepFun
$33 Vol.
13%
Thinky
$33 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$83 Vol.
11%
Anthropic
$33 Vol.
11%
Baidu
$33 Vol.
10%
Microsoft
$77 Vol.
9%
Tencent
$33 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent developments in frontier math reasoning, including OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes solution and multiple labs advancing on AIME26 and FrontierMath benchmarks, underpin trader sentiment in the TextArena Math category. With Anthropic models currently dominating live arena Elo scores, the race for second place among labs remains tight through November. Google’s Gemini variants and Z.ai’s GLM series show strong competitive positioning via consistent high scores and open-weight releases, while OpenAI, Meta, and Alibaba trail on current math-specific leaderboards but benefit from rapid iteration potential. Key differentiators include inference-time scaling, tool-use integration, and verified performance on hard reasoning prompts. Traders appear focused on near-term model updates and arena vote momentum as the primary swing factors before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volumen
$911Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent developments in frontier math reasoning, including OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes solution and multiple labs advancing on AIME26 and FrontierMath benchmarks, underpin trader sentiment in the TextArena Math category. With Anthropic models currently dominating live arena Elo scores, the race for second place among labs remains tight through November. Google’s Gemini variants and Z.ai’s GLM series show strong competitive positioning via consistent high scores and open-weight releases, while OpenAI, Meta, and Alibaba trail on current math-specific leaderboards but benefit from rapid iteration potential. Key differentiators include inference-time scaling, tool-use integration, and verified performance on hard reasoning prompts. Traders appear focused on near-term model updates and arena vote momentum as the primary swing factors before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$911Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in frontier math reasoning, including OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes solution and multiple labs advancing on AIME26 and FrontierMath benchmarks, underpin trader sentiment in the TextArena Math category. With Anthropic models currently dominating live arena Elo scores, the race for second place among labs remains tight through November. Google’s Gemini variants and Z.ai’s GLM series show strong competitive positioning via consistent high scores and open-weight releases, while OpenAI, Meta, and Alibaba trail on current math-specific leaderboards but benefit from rapid iteration potential. Key differentiators include inference-time scaling, tool-use integration, and verified performance on hard reasoning prompts. Traders appear focused on near-term model updates and arena vote momentum as the primary swing factors before year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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